Aug 13 2012

Just an Notice Post.

Hey guys iv’e been working really hard on the winter forecast that im releasing September 8th. I will be releasing it September 8th at 1:00p.m eastern, 12:00p.m central. I have looked at all the factors and signs of on what this winter will be like. Here is a sneak peak, the eastern U.S is definitally going to make up for last year. I will continue to do normal forecast updates to deal with severe weather and any tropical system that forms. Ok have a nice night everyone, and god bless you all.

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About the author

Matthew

Hey my name is Matthew Hatley. I am 16 and I always loved the weather ever since I was a baby. I used to stand at the door and watch the lightning during thunderstorms. I was a little chap when I used to do that. I am a meterologist for mainly the southeast but occasinally I do forecasts for the whole country. I do my best to give information about the weather to people who ask me what the weather will be like for the day, or the week. My favorite time of the year is winter. I do the best weather forecasting during the winter. I enjoy all of the people who view my forecast, but not only mine but all the other forecasters at Weatheradvance.com

9 comments

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Dan

August 13, 2012 at 4:51 pm (UTC -4) Link to this comment

you should sneak peak for the midwest/great lakes region now aka sector 2 lol..
Brad Fields

August 13, 2012 at 11:47 pm (UTC -4) Link to this comment

Dan, depending on certain spots of the mid-west will have such a different outlook. Great Lakes will get cold and at times real Artic Shots. Most precip is coming out of the south as the southern Jet gets real active come late December. The Mid-Atlantic looks to a hot spot for winter action this year. Time will only tell. The southeast looks like a cold winter for them to as well and way above the normal precip. I personally see a late start to this winter for most besides the Rockies. I feel like 22-26″inches for Northern Va. Snow will fall hard specially in February!!!
derickeugeneree

August 14, 2012 at 9:46 am (UTC -4) Link to this comment

How bad do you think it will get for the mid-atlantic including PA this winter and could get?
Eric Webb

August 14, 2012 at 11:19 am (UTC -4) Link to this comment

Dan, I’m not so sure about a “late start to winter” In fact, I’m seeing the exact opposite, years like 2009-10 and 2002-03 got off to very fast starts, and in fact I’m predicting that central NC will see a significant winter storm before the start of winter. With a maturing central based el nino, the fall will be below normal east of the rockies. If you notice, that once the equatorial waters west of South America, in the NINO 1 and 2 regions begin to cool, like what is happening now, the United States sees a significant cool response. However, even saying this, it is still way too early to determine how early or late the winter will start, and the only guidance we have to that is analog years, and those years like December 2002, December 2004, and December 2009 all had fast starts to winter with a significant winter weather in the mid-atlantic and mid-south before winter started, closer to the I-40 corridor around Arkansas, Oklahoma, Tennessee, and North Carolina. Snow usually fell very early over areas of western TX, east NM, west OK, west KS, and east CO.
Eric Webb

August 14, 2012 at 12:44 pm (UTC -4) Link to this comment

Here’s something interesting I discovered, in one of the analog winter for this year 1976-77, they had snow in Miami and had snow and rain mix even in the Bahamas!! 1976-77 was a central-west based el nino winter that followed after 2-3 years of a deep La nina in the cold PDO, very similar to what appears to be happening now. I wouldn’t count out snow for areas along and south of the I-10 corridor, even though snow is rare, the chance of them getting snow this year appears to be well above normal. However, only time will tell if this comes to pass.
Matthew

August 14, 2012 at 2:17 pm (UTC -4) Link to this comment

I think it will be very cold and very snowy this winter at this point.
Eric Webb

August 14, 2012 at 5:52 pm (UTC -4) Link to this comment

I think the same, but I am pointing out that this winter could turn out to be bitterly cold for much of the US, in fact, we are now seeing the biggest turnaround in July to August temperatures in any of the very hot summers of 1934, 1936, 1952, 1953, 1954, 2010, and 2011, with another shot of very cold temps 5-10 degrees celsius below normal possible over the plains and great lakes. It is no coincidence that we are seeing this now because the waters off of South America have cooled and the waters over the central pacific have warmed, which is why the US is beginning to cool and is a sign that a central pacific el nino is developing. If the pattern is capable of this in August, just imagine what can happen this winter.
jeffrey reed

August 17, 2012 at 3:02 pm (UTC -4) Link to this comment

How much snow is jefferson county wv expected to get this winter and is there going to be any blizzards i hope its just like 2009-2010 winter season.
Eric Webb

August 18, 2012 at 9:02 am (UTC -4) Link to this comment

Jeffrey, I see that you average about 24-36 inches of snow a year, so I would have to say 30-45 inches, with the potential to exceed 4 feet of snow for this winter’s season total. A blizzard isn’t out of the question considering how high in elevation you have and how far west you are, and that means that any east coast storms will probably be all snow, but we may have the occasional appalachian or great lakes cutter, and that could mean ice and rain get mixed in every now and then. Still a few uncertainties about this upcoming winter, but I feel pretty confident that this winter will not be a disappointment like last year.