Aug 15 2012

September 8th 2012-2013 Winter Sneak-Peak!

Hey everyone I thought I would be nice and show an Sneak Peak from my 2012-2013 September 8th winter forecast update. November-February is going to be Very Cold! Enough said

This post has no tag

About the author

Matthew

Hey my name is Matthew Hatley. I am 16 and I always loved the weather ever since I was a baby. I used to stand at the door and watch the lightning during thunderstorms. I was a little chap when I used to do that. I am a meterologist for mainly the southeast but occasinally I do forecasts for the whole country. I do my best to give information about the weather to people who ask me what the weather will be like for the day, or the week. My favorite time of the year is winter. I do the best weather forecasting during the winter. I enjoy all of the people who view my forecast, but not only mine but all the other forecasters at Weatheradvance.com

6 comments

Skip to comment form ↓

blizzard14

August 15, 2012 at 12:20 pm (UTC -4) Link to this comment

Do you have the updated one? Cause the forecast for djf is from june and the one for ndj is from may.
Eric Webb

August 15, 2012 at 12:26 pm (UTC -4) Link to this comment

The CFS model has been fairly consistent on this, and if this scenario verifies, would agree with your forecast for winter temperatures this year. For the model to go from slightly cool on NOV-DEC-JAN to Extremely cold DEC-JAN-FEB, should tell you something about how cold it may get for areas east of the Rockies.
Matthew

August 15, 2012 at 1:58 pm (UTC -4) Link to this comment

The december-february was actually from july (last month), the next update will be sometime late next month.
blizzard14

August 15, 2012 at 6:15 pm (UTC -4) Link to this comment

Okay, the CFS was great last winter but nobody believed it cause it was warm. I dont think this winter will be EXTREMELY cold but definently chilly for the eastern third of the country.
Eric Webb

August 16, 2012 at 10:05 am (UTC -4) Link to this comment

Blizzard 14, I wouldn’t count it out at this point, just look at some of the analog winters that had a central based el nino after 2-3 years of la nina, just like 2002-03, 1976-77, and 2009-10, and also take into account the icelandic volcano eruption. Why is that significant? Well, because we also saw a high-latitude major volcano eruption in 1912 over Alaska, and 2 winters later in 1914-15, the US turned extremely cold, now if you do the math, that would put us at this winter. Arctic volcanoes aren’t like tropical volcanoes, their effects aren’t immediate, because over the tropics, you send all the ash into the atmosphere over the tropics you get immediate cooling, However, all of that ash slows down the tropical easterlies, thus you get el nino, and a warming response afterwards. A good recent analog of what we are currently seeing can be drawn back to Russia in 2010. They had a summer with many strong heat waves and dry conditions, and then the winter that followed was brutally cold and snowy. We’ll see how this unfolds, but extreme cold is a good possibility for areas east of the Mississippi River given the conditions that are developing at hand.
Calvin

September 8, 2012 at 2:43 pm (UTC -4) Link to this comment

@ Matthew, how much snow you think Atlanta will get this upcoming winter?