Sep 10 2012

Will the Weather be nice tomorrow for the 11th Anniversity of 9/11?

Overall the weather will be very nice and cool for the east coast and pacific northwest but everywhere else will be pretty warm. I just want to take a moment to pray for all the people who lost their loved ones on that horrible day. Its a shame that 2,497 innocent people lost their lives that day. It felt like the world was going to end, but I will say that all the suffering this country has been through, we have became a very strong country. What doesn’t kill us makes us stronger. So for respect WeatherAdvance.com WILL NOT do any weather posts tomorrow, thank you and have a nice day everyone. Godbless you all.

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About the author

Matthew

Hey my name is Matthew Hatley. I am 16 and I always loved the weather ever since I was a baby. I used to stand at the door and watch the lightning during thunderstorms. I was a little chap when I used to do that. I am a meterologist for mainly the southeast but occasinally I do forecasts for the whole country. I do my best to give information about the weather to people who ask me what the weather will be like for the day, or the week. My favorite time of the year is winter. I do the best weather forecasting during the winter. I enjoy all of the people who view my forecast, but not only mine but all the other forecasters at Weatheradvance.com

12 comments

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Eric Webb

September 10, 2012 at 4:16 pm (UTC -4) Link to this comment

Great post Matthew, truly was a sad day back in 2001. I wonder why September 11 has not been made a holiday by the government, because it definitely deserves one.
Matthew

September 10, 2012 at 5:18 pm (UTC -4) Link to this comment

Well you see a holiday is something that is supposed to be celebrated. 9/11 is not ment to be an holiday because its a day of moarning.
Eric Webb

September 10, 2012 at 6:24 pm (UTC -4) Link to this comment

Well, that is true, although that day has carried the most significance since 2001, it should deserve more credence. Holidays themselves are not just meant for celebration, but also days of great remembrance, like 9-11, and that’s according to the definition of Holiday: ” A day free from work that one may spend at leisure, especially a day on which custom or the law dictates a halting of general business activity to commemorate or celebrate a particular event.” (courtesy of http://www.thefreedictionary.com/Holiday). Holidays like Veterans Day and Memorial Day aren’t necessarily days of celebration, these are days in which we remember the loved ones we lost and the people who paid the ultimate sacrifice to preserve our nation’s freedom and liberty. In 9-11 we do the same as we do in those holidays, which is why I still question why it has yet to be designated as a federal holiday, however it is known as an informal holiday, and is given the name “Patriot Day”.
Brian Gilbert

September 10, 2012 at 7:47 pm (UTC -4) Link to this comment

Hey Matthew do agree with Brett Anderson on saying that this winter will probably be mild as well? He said a computer model came out today saying that the nao would be positive about this whole winter. Please tell me he doesn’t know what he is talking about.
Eric

September 10, 2012 at 8:46 pm (UTC -4) Link to this comment

Brian could you provide a link to where you saw this? I agree with what we have been saying at Weather Advance for quite some time now concerning the NAO and AO, and the effect it will have on the upcoming winter. I’ll try to answer your question because he has been getting quite a few questions in his winter forecast blog. If Brett Anderson said actually said that I doubt Brett knows what he’s talking about though, and it does not make any sense given the pattern we have in place. The fact that the water near Greenland is currently above normal, and that usually focuses lower pressures off the landmass of Greenland, and causes a resulting rise in pressures over Greenland and the surrounding areas, when you get that to happen, you basically have a -NAO, with high pressures in the higher latitudes and lower pressures over the lower latitudes. What also does not make any sense is given that we have a central based el nino in place, and with the potential to flip the PDO briefly to warm, and if that happens the pressures over North America will completely flip from last year. Last year we had lower pressures over the arctic, with a very tightly wound Alaskan Vortex, which helped to strengthen the westerlies, and combined with a strongly west QBO, this all helped constantly pump mild air into the United States. Combine this with the history that we have with central pacific el nino winters like 2009-10 2002-03, and the el nino winters from 1977-1979 in a cold PDO, you get a very cold solution over the US, not a warm one. Brett might need to avoid trying to focus on a single computer model so much, and instead look at the given conditions at hand and use his meteorological experience to make a forecast, and use the computer models as a guide, not a forecast for potential winter solutions. Plus other models like the CFS, the JMA, and the climate model from NASA all point towards a cold solution for this upcoming winter, so I’m not entirely sure what computer model he is referring to, but I would be interested to see.
Eric

September 10, 2012 at 9:12 pm (UTC -4) Link to this comment

Wow Brian Gilbert, thanks for pointing this out to me. I find it very interesting why he thinks the NAO will be positive given what we are currently seeing with the warm water surrounding Greenland and the teleconnection to the AAO. I’m amazed at how he somehow thinks temperatures will be above normal and snowfall will be below normal over the Atlantic. Given the the way the factors at hand look, the QBO is leaning towards an east-based solution, the ENSO index at an el nino state, a central pacific el nino at that (in a cold PDO too), the NAO/ AO leaning towards negative given the warm water near Greenland and the AAO teleconnection, and other analog winters similar to this one show mostly cold and snow over the east. Here’s the link to Brett Anderson’s blog in case anyone is interested. http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/anderson/new-clues-about-the-upcoming-winter/72402. His thinking does not make any sense to me at all given the pattern and the conditions at hand.
Matthew

September 10, 2012 at 10:01 pm (UTC -4) Link to this comment

Brian, I think Brett Anderson is wrong.
Brian Gilbert

September 11, 2012 at 12:39 am (UTC -4) Link to this comment

Hey Eric this was on accuweather on Brett Anderson’s blog. I’m glad y’all think he was wrong. Last winter sucked to bad to have a repeat. Thanks for the blogs y’all provide.
Eric Webb

September 11, 2012 at 7:39 am (UTC -4) Link to this comment

Thank you Brian, I like to get fired up every once in a while, still can’t believe this guy is thinking this way, does he even look at the pattern that is shaping up in front of us? Does he have previous history to back up his belief that we will have a warm winter in the east in a cold PDO with a central pacific el nino? History shows that this set-up we are currently in is very favorable for lots of cold and snow over the eastern US.
Chintan N

September 11, 2012 at 7:20 pm (UTC -4) Link to this comment

Very Sad Day for all Americans, but also temperature would also bad because its freaking hot ,so hopefully hot would gone until april 2013, and we will see longest, coldest, and snowiest winter. I also hope record break snowfall will be in southeast, northeast, great lakes, midwest, so on with average about 40 or above snowfall in southeast, 85 or above in northeast, 90 or above greak lakes, and 90 or above in midwest.
Rick

September 13, 2012 at 8:36 pm (UTC -4) Link to this comment

How can you say he’s wrong when he is simply interpreting the models forecast? He didn’t make the forecast the model did… He’s just identifying key points.
Rick

September 13, 2012 at 8:37 pm (UTC -4) Link to this comment

But to say that he’s wrong, just makes you guys sound bias.