Feb 07 2013

Big Northeast Snowstorm Could Go Down In The Record Books?

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Matthew

Hey my name is Matthew Hatley. I am 16 and I always loved the weather ever since I was a baby. I used to stand at the door and watch the lightning during thunderstorms. I was a little chap when I used to do that. I am a meterologist for mainly the southeast but occasinally I do forecasts for the whole country. I do my best to give information about the weather to people who ask me what the weather will be like for the day, or the week. My favorite time of the year is winter. I do the best weather forecasting during the winter. I enjoy all of the people who view my forecast, but not only mine but all the other forecasters at Weatheradvance.com

5 comments

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Cassie

February 7, 2013 at 6:43 pm (UTC -4) Link to this comment

Wish the Blizzard was in NC. No accumalation yet just some snow falling and melting in the RAIN a few weeks ago. Anyone want all this RAIN. YOU CAN HAVE IT. I am sick of it.

Are they any snows in the future for the foothills…Hudson, Granite, Lenoir, Hickory any time soon. Anything on the models and I don’t mean boone and blowing rock. They have had snow.

I am starting to get worried we are not going to see anything again this year. Tulips are coming up now
Looks like no chance for snow next week by AOL weather map/

Let me know Cassie
chintan

February 7, 2013 at 10:39 pm (UTC -4) Link to this comment

hello, Northeaster I feel jealous in the south because if I will be there than I feel proud to see that much snow which I never have seen. Since 2 years I never seen one flurry here in atlanta , but u people r lucky to see that much snow .,.enjoy ur snow day!
hockeymom

February 8, 2013 at 5:40 pm (UTC -4) Link to this comment

Come on Matt predict some snow for Atlanta PLEEEEAAAASSSSEEEE lol
Eric

February 9, 2013 at 9:32 am (UTC -4) Link to this comment

@ hockeymom
Boy do I have good news for you, check out what I posted in my blog, need to take a look at this

“@ MikeDileo and other bloggers curious about the Valentine’s Day system
As I had expected, the ECMWF was too far back with the energy over the southwestern US, and by doing so made the trough of low pressure hang back to much in the subtropical jetstream, giving the trough a positive tilt, thus with this being the case, the trough is weaker. However, this morning, the models are starting to get more aggressive on this storm system, and I think there could be snow from western Texas and Oklahoma to Virginia and NC, and I am leaning towards areas like Amarillo, Oklahoma City, Tulsa, Little Rock, Memphis, Nashville, Huntsville, Birmingham, Atlanta, Greensboro-Winston-Salem, Raleigh-Durham, Roanoke, Washington DC, Baltimore, Atlantic City, and Dover among other places that could be in the path of this system. It is interesting how the ECMWF this time is actually coming around to the CMC and GFS solutions with this system, and it makes sense that this storm will be farther to the south because of the snowpack over New England and the northeast helping to raise surface pressures, and this acts as a “barrier” helping to deflect this storm farther to the south and east. Now, this storm may be significant and I’m concerned we could see shades of snowmaggedon with this storm because the pattern at hand looks very favorable and I am noticing that as we close in on this storm over the last few days, the models have only got more and more aggressive on the strength of this storm as it seems like this may be somewhat of a smaller scale system with a dynamic pattern in place similar to the blizzard that’s occurring over the northeast, thus the models may not see the true strength of this system until the very last minute.
(CMC loop) http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/CMCNA_0z/cmcloop.html
(GFS loop) http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/MRF_0z/mrfloop.html
(NOGAPS loop http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/NOGAPS_0z/nogapsloop.html
(ECMWF loop)
In saying this, when I have looked at the model loops above, I am very, very concerned about what may be coming towards the 17th or so as it looks like ALL of the major models, even the terrible NOGAPS is hinting at a potentially unimaginable and monster storm in the longer ranges. It’s not just one or two models on one run here or there, it is every single model for the past couple days indicating this, and it really worries me because not only is the model consistency there, but the conditions as described above in this post and the previous one are very favorable for something like this to occur with the MJO nearing the “jackpot” octants 2 and 3 by that time, the -SOI crash adding lots of energy into the subtropical jet, the 30 day sunspot cycles extremely low, pushing for a +PNA means big troughs in the east, and with the upward MJO in place, this also helps to force higher pressures, thus a -NAO which brings blocking into the mix of this pattern as well. If these models do verify, wow, talk about a storm, this one we’re seeing now would look like a guppy in comparison to this monster, and what they are also indicating at is the polar vortex from northern Canada coming southward towards the Hudson Bay. It actually makes a little sense for this to occur as the polar vortex does move towards extreme northern Canada in the longer ranges, the recent strong areas of low pressure near the east coast help to form a large and powerful gyre of low pressure just to the west of Greenland, and if the influence of that gyre of low pressure is strong enough as what is being indicated, then we would have a large fujwhara of these two regions of low pressure where they rotate towards each other in a counter clockwise motion, which would in essence bring the polar vortex from extreme northern Canada southward into south-central Canada. With the polar vortex providing large amounts of cold air with their associative higher pressures, if this were to meet up with a system in the subtropical jet stream that is carrying warm and moist air from the tropical eastern Pacific and the warm Gulf of Mexico, then we would be talking about a very historic system, somewhat reminiscent of the 1993 superstorm, because these types of situations are indeed somewhat rare, but as I’ve told Armando before these trough alignments with the subtropical jet all the way to polar vortex are very dangerous and with such a large temperature and pressure gradient across the US at the time with all of the conditions at hand being favorable and an unusual amount of model consistency in every major computer model, there’s reason to be concerned a monster storm could be lurking. We will see what happens and I hope to provide updates on this over the next few days, hopefully I am wrong on this storm, but it worries me to see not only the conditions coming together, but the models as well so far out in time and not even budging for at least the last few days, that should tell you something.”
hockeymom

February 9, 2013 at 11:12 am (UTC -4) Link to this comment

WOOP WOOP Eric Lets hope it plays out