This storm has, hopped and flopped, and run and flipped all over the place over the past few days on the models. So which model do you trust? Easy answer… at this point none of them.
Right now I would consider this close to a classic mid-Atlantic snowstorm, where areas about 20-50 miles north of the Maison Dixon line are affected, but I-95 and points east, start off as snow and change over to a mix or rain. The problem. Well as it usually is this time of year, a lack of cold air. The models may indicate cold air is around, but this time of year, the sun angel is higher which helps to warm the temperatures.
Bellow is what the GFS model is saying snowfall wise. I think this is closer to the scenario that will occur. I will keep an eye on this system but the mountain area’s should keep an eye on this one.