Overall Snowfall So Far This Winter

Mar 15th, 2013 @ 04:39 am › Matthew
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Dan

3 mos ago

Hey matthew,

Can you do a spring/summer 2013 weather map outlook?
midatlanticweather

3 mos ago

@Matthew—Not bashing or anything but Central NJ was slightly above average. My average is 30 inches and I have 35 inches. If you include those very minor C-3 events, I have 35 inches. Here’s my snowfall up to this point. And the snowfall season starts in Oct. 2012 and ends in May 2013.

Link: http://biggamefisherman1000snowreporter.blogspot.com/2013/03/as-of-now-3813-annual-snowfall-oct-2012.html
Matthew

3 mos ago

@ Dan yes im working on it right now. I will do my summer forecast later on but right now im working on my spring forecast
Armando

3 mos ago

Hey Eric, long time no talk lol. I’ve been, like you, very busy with school work and now baseball season has started, so much coming at me lol. Well now that i’m free today, i’d like to ask some questions. Ok so now this clipper occuring at of 5:10pm ET, we are getting moderate snow but no accumulation…obviously surface temps too warm, but hey it’s snowing in mid-march! Thats crazy because i haven’t seen this in forever! Anyway so this storm coming mon-tues of early next week, what exactly will occur? It’s like a two part storm going to happen, not too sure what will occur, but your the expert. I do know that we will most likely get a changeover to rain,if not all rain . Well thats not the last storm because now i’m reading that a storm around the 26th could affect us and become a nor’easter. I know PNA will spike by that time period along with west based -NAO so isn’t that good news for us? All i want is just one more “blockbuster”, but if not o well, it sure has been one heck of an epic winter for me! Also how long will this pattern last? I can’t believe back in Feb that joe b was predicting that the “snap” will occur early march and now look at this…truly amazing! All i know is winter isn’t leaving anytime soon and will last through i believe end of march, thoughts on all of this? Thanks, i’m sure you’re just as busy,if not busier!
Wasi

3 mos ago

Lucky for you Armando. It was an epic winter for your area but my area still continues to be in snow drought for 2+ years in a row. I wanted at least one 6 inch snowstorm and that did not happen this winter for me either since it was warmer in march and became a big bust with that storm last week. I’m still in the snow hole and may continue on until any big storm can happen next time when real winter comes back.
Armando

3 mos ago

Aw i do feel bad for you wasi because you guys got screwed over from that last storm “saturn”. Also in general you guys clearly didn’t get any snow, but hey don’t keep your head down because as you can see, if you read most of my comments, i talk about joe b a lot and i’m a subscriber to his website. Anyway my point is that in his post today he said that DC could see snow early Mon with a few inches possibly! Some maps have a few inches from DC to new england so don’t give up yet. Another thing is i mentioned that around the 26th a nor’easter could be possible, and it has a chance to come up the coast and has the CHANCE to bury DC to Boston, many things need to sort out though because many models are having trouble and plus it’s a week out so nothing to get too excited….yet. I’ll let you know or Eric will if he comes on soon. I’m sure he’s busy, but wasi all i’m saying is don’t just give up yet, we still have 2 or more weeks of winter to go and pattern is ripe!
Wasi

3 mos ago

The chance is very low for a snowstorm this late in march because it would not be cold enough for it to snow. The PNA is big problem right now as the ensembles are predicting it to go neutral. It needs to be more positive if sunspots drop down very low again. The NAO and AO are in good shape as it is going tank sharply negative especially the AO which could break the lowest record to -5 value. That would help the temps drop down to the lower 30s or even lower in the day. If that happens, then it would be snowing. If not, then it’s mostly rain event and the interior northeast would be in the bulls-eye for heavy snow. It is rare to happen late in march and does not happen very often to get a snowstorm as it snows more in the first half of march. Winter started late in the game and if this blocking happened in february, then it would’ve been a lot easier to get a snowstorm. Also, the sun angle is higher and much stronger in march and more daytime heating so it makes it very hard to snow in late march.
cassie

3 mos ago

Blizzard her (NC) in 93 I think was the year 20 plus inches and it was the end around 23 25 of March. I don’t expect it to happen was 75 today but it can happen. Not this year though. had cold but no snow only see some flakes nothing to amount to accumulation never layed at all. Bust again. Not looking forward to summer we don’t need a forecast on that Hotter than H is what it will be. No one can get that wrong. Until next winter with hope again. You guys be good. Enjoyed the forecast and I am chopping down the lying persimmon tree this year. Had enough of it. Cassie
Eric

3 mos ago

@ Armando, Wasi, and Cassie
Hey, nice to see you guys, but if you can believe it, I am still working on my new post, (will try to answer questions when I’m done) and boy is it going to be huge, my last one was near 10,000 words, this one not even finished is already at 18,000 and counting, lol, going to be well worth the wait.
Rod Houston

3 mos ago

People are saying that it could snow on the east coast on the 25th and 26th.The big problem is the sun angle is high this time of the year.If anyone see snow on the 25th it’s going to be the mountains.And about Summer,will we see another heat wave like last year?
Jacob Thome

3 mos ago

go to weathershot.blogspot.com, I have just made a post, and also i am looking for forecasters
midatlanticweather

3 mos ago

@Rod Houston—Not for the Northeast. The southwest has this summer well heated. NOT Chicago. Maybe a little warmer.
Eric

3 mos ago

@ Armando and other bloggers
I hope to have my new post out this week, but I will warn you, it is VERY large, already about 2 & half times the size of my last post and I have yet to do any pattern, model analysis and other things, but to midatlantic weather, I completely disagree with you here, you have to look at ALL of the conditions at hand before jumping to conclusions that the northeast will not see snow, (you’re going to regret it later especially starting with the AO for instance, which is forecasted to tank absolutely off of the charts negative, close to 6 standard deviations negative from normal!!! (link) http://models.weatherbell.com/oscillation/gefs_ao_00.png (notice in the picture that the AO forecast literally falls off of the charts. Although I do not like to just focus on one particular oscillation, knowing that the NAO is king this time of the year, and with it close to 4-5 standard deviations negative from normal, in a time of lengthening late winter wavelengths and a weakening polar jet, and with the AO absolutely unbelievably this negative it is not smart at all to write this winter off, because how many times have we seen this year, with bloggers on here especially, in how they think this winter is a bust or is over, next thing you know mother nature has come knocking. Plus, to boot, the MJO is coming into the “fun phases” like it was when there was a monster snowstorm the beginning of the 2nd week of February with references to the 1969 Lindsay Storm. 30 day sunspot cycles have been steadily increasing for the past week or so, keeping the PNA slightly negative, but all it would take is for the 30 day sunspot cycles to suddenly crash, and then winter would come roaring back in a hurry, of course it is March, but of course according to NESIS, March is the 3rd most active month for significant winter storms, actually ahead of December, which has the shortest wavelengths and a much more mature polar jet.

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