Latest GFS (12Z) spells Very Cool Start To August

The long range GFS really starting in early August, shows a train of cooler air pushing into the northeast and Midwest. Showing temperatures in the Low 70′s in the Big cities for stretches and the low 80′s for stretches. Now models tend to overdo cooler air around this time of year, but considering the cooler temperature trend we have gotten into the last week or so, it cannot be ruled out. I will keep a very close eye on this as many of us are looking for much needed relief. In short the month starts off the first couple of days Hot. (upper 80′s) then as we head towards the 5th of the month temperatures drop into the 70′s. We will keep a close eye on this over the next week or so. Unfortunately it looks as if the heat will build over Texas and the southeast, it bears watching, as accuweather thinks this will push into the northeast by late August. Right now, i just dont see it that way. From what Im seeing for now, it looks like the oppressive heat is just about done for the summer.

First Half of August Outlook

First Half of August Outlook

Side Note: National Weather Service Sees the same thing I do for the first half of next month. I will take a look at 18Z model runs and get back with more information later, and see if it stays cooler than average even into late month. Could this be the start of the winter pattern? too early to tell, will have to see.

National weather Service sees Wetter than average conditions in the East, drier than average in the west. Majority of rain, right up Appalachian mountains and big cities, DC, Balt,, Phily, NY city

National weather Service sees Wetter than average conditions in the East, drier than average in the west. Majority of rain, right up Appalachian mountains and big cities, DC, Balt,, Phily, NY city

National Weather Service Expects cooler than average conditions in the Northern half of the US, warm west and southeast though,

National Weather Service Expects cooler than average conditions in the Northern half of the US, warm west and southeast though,

Dante' Brown-Royal

About Dante' Brown-Royal

Hello, I am Dante' the CEO/President of Weather Advance. I most of the time specialize in Winter Weather and winter forecasting. I also am pretty decent in predicting severe weather and tracking hurricanes. Howevere usually that's not my forte. I will strive to always give you the most accurate updates possible, and information possible when it comes to the weather!

6 comments on “Latest GFS (12Z) spells Very Cool Start To August

  1. Very interesting to say this but in my area has been quite cool for this time of year and has been lingering for about 5 days now and last Thursday night it was half cold outside could this be a sign to come to this winter? And early season snowfall? Will just have to wait and see. If this winter can get as below normal temps as what it’s like now look out for a very cold and or snowy winter? I’m quite surprised how much cool it has been and seems to be wanting to last.
  2. @Dante
    I’m not seeing your post on the main page, all I see is an advertisement above your last post, think something may be wrong?
  3. I mean the weather stinks if it will be cooler than normal and wet. PLEASE, NO MORE TROPICAL WEATHER! :)
  4. @ Central NJ weather
    Loi, based on climatology & my own specific climatology chart I’m still making specific for this year, we’re pretty much getting started, (got about 85% of the hurricane season left) I hope to have this chart finished by the next post and I’m very intrigued as well that my chart also caught the developments of tropical storms Dorian & Chantal. If anything, the worst has yet to come & when the “meat” of the hurricane season arrives on August 10th & lasts into October, the east coast especially will have to be on the lookout, based on the pattern at hand I’m worried this year about a hit to the eastern seaboard with a storm that comes from the southeast, rather than the typical recurve up the eastern seaboard, we’ll see if my suspicions are indeed correct, only time will tell.

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