Right now the winter of 2013-2014 For most of the Midwest looks like it will be very cold and snowy. One thing that we have noticed over the past two months is that when cool air has been coming down its started around western Minnesota and worked its way down to the south and east. However it ends up stalling before it really clear all the way southward. So while temperatures may not seem as hot, the brunt of the cooler air is bottled up North of Tennessee and North Carolina.
The Warmer air quickly builds back behind the fronts as we see in the diagram to the right but the high pressure really just does not budge all that much and it keeps the cooler than average air locked and loaded over the eastern half of the United States. The one caution I have for this setup for those in the mid-west is the storm track. For big snows you all get either come from Apps running low pressure systems or from “GLC” (Great Lakes Cutter) This year Alberta clippers will feed some of your snow, but right now im going to stick to my outlook, that you will be colder and snowier than average, from Minnesota, Chicago, Detroit and possibly Indianapolis & Cincinnati.
I believe that winter will start off early for you guys in Late November- Early December. A January Thaw is expected but do not expect it to be like it has been in previous years. The one thing i feel very confident about right now is that it will be very cold in the Mid-west and Great Lakes. Precipitation wise I will have to keep a much closer eye on. But as it stands right now if this pattern continues the way it has been, cold air will definitely be in the picture. We have too see if the weather pattern keeps transitioning to this,