This has been long awaited for but here it is. My winter forecast at this point of time is primarily focused on the coming El Nino, The Negative trend of the NAO and wavering AO and PNA, as well as the winter weather pattern over the past few seasons.
The NAO has been trending negative:
The NAO has been trending negative for the past month and a half. There are indications that this may change just slightly but at this point of time, I believe that this trend of the negative NAO is going to continue.