Tag Archives: winter

Be Careful Not to Model Hug Folks

The Current state of the ENSO has stalled, long range models indicate that this will change, but ive seen this before, so until i see the models actually verify, i don’t see much reason why a repeat of last winters Neutral to weak ENSO is still possible.



National weather Service over the winter sees it more likely of a LA Nina-Neutral Conditions than an El Nino- Next Winter it is more likely to see the development of an el nino. But overall a small pool of cooler waters will persist in the eastern pacific, no real el-nino develops. Most likely scenario as I have said before in my thinking is a Very Weak La Nina Neutral Conditions, i just don’t see el nino at this time. That may change over the next few months. A Lot of time folks.


Stratospheric Warming, Indian Ocean Dipole implications on hurricane season & next winter. 1996 now a hurricane season analog. Cape Verde storm for July?

Weather Advance hurricane pic 3

Hi all, and I want to say first of all, I greatly appreciate all of the feedback and comments I receive in my posts, and if you are a viewer of these posts and are too shy or perhaps don’t … read more

Hurricane Season Forecast & Late Winter Ramblings

    Hi all, and of course the weather pattern after the most recent winter storm in the northeast, has quieted down considerably and many in the eastern US, as I’ve been saying for several days are experiencing some nice … read more

Incredible winter storm for the Northeast US, widespread power outages likely. Major Blizzard for the upper midwest. More to follow as pattern remains favorable

Just want to make a quick post about this storm and want to continue to mention what will be coming in the longer ranges. A very dangerous situation currently ongoing in the northeast as they deal with an unbelievable snowstorm … read more

Southern New England and parts of the northeast to get absolutely crushed by a crippling snowstorm Friday. Another system to follow towards Valentine’s Day as pattern becomes even more favorable

Hi all, sorry I have not posted in a while, but I do want to make this post much shorter than usual because of such a major storm we have at hand with major implications for the northeastern US. As … read more