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Winter Forecast November 5th Update
This Winter There will be a number of Key factors to look at. Especially, since we will have a weak to moderate El-Niño to deal with this coming winter. We already have seen several signs of what the winter will be like in October, and now the question is what is ahead for the feature?
Well there were neither 2 Nor Easter’s that came up the coast and pretty much light rain in-between. If these storms had come 1 or two months later, there would be a tremendous amount of snowfall along the I-95 corridor. For example Washington D.C may have received 24”+ of snowfall over those two days. Next we will discuss what the trends from this month have been so far this FALL.
Weather Advance’s And GWC News-Miller Hyatt’s Fall Forecast Correct!
Pretty much the forecast leans too a trough in east and a ridge in the west. This has proved true for most of the month of October and in the month of September. Cooler than average air was expected temperature wise. And The trend so far this winter has the track of the storms moving in the southeast and then moving up the coast into the northeast.
Storm Tracks For The Remainder of The Winter!
Now as we transition into the remaining parts of November and into the winter months., we will start to see the weather pattern really set up for a snowy winter along and in the southeast and into the Mid-Atlantic. The Main storm track with the bigger storms will start out just north of Seattle Washington. and move southeast through Colorado and into southern Texas. There the storms will re-develop and either start on a northeasterly trend as they cross the Texas, Louisiana boarder (scenario 1) or Continue off to the east and come up the coast. (Scenario 2)
If Scenario one occurs there is a more than likely chance that there will be more warm air involved. So while there may be snow at the outset, it will mix and change over to freezing rain and then rain in the southeast. Most of the storms will not take that track. Most will take scenario two. If scenario two occurs the storm will continue east and then change to the north, northeast after clearing the coast of Florida. As it comes up the coast it will intensify and then explode in intensity as it heads of the coast of Maryland. This may cause storms of 4-8″+ and maybe even 16″+ storms this winter.
Snowfall Forecast Statement
The snowfall predictions are not 100% accurate. These are only estimates and educated guesses. Some of these totals have already been surpassed. But that will only go to show that this is already and will be, a snowier than average winter.
As we head closer and closer to winter we would really like to know what the temperatures will be like. Right now it appears as if the mid-Atlantic and the I-95 corridor will be the bull’s eye for the colder and snowier than average temperatures. Colder than average as you head into the northeast and slightly above average when it comes to precipitation. The Midwest will be warmer than in previous years and will not receive as much snow as they have in previous years. Sorry Midwest As for the pacific northwest Warmer and drier than average. And the Southwest Slightly wetter than average and above average temperatures. The Gulf Coast States and the majority of the southeast will have more snow & Ice than average and Florida will see more severe weather than average. Cool and wet for south Texas.
Prediction Snowfall Amounts:
Washington D.C: 48-51″ +
Riverdale Park, MD: 52″
College Park, MD: 52″
Waldorf, MD: 35″
La Plata, MD: 34″
Ocean City, MD: 29″
Baltimore, MD: 50″
Silver Spring, MD: 53″
Salisbury, MD: 31″
If you would like to have a foretasted winter forecast prediction please contact us on the link above.
TO READ THE FULL VERSION OF THE INTERESTING WINTER OBSERVATION BY THE ACCUWEATHER.COM METEOROLOGIST PLEASE CLICK THE LINK BELLOW!